Tuesday, January 03, 2006

2006 and 2008

I'm getting into election mode. With the campaigning for 2006 about to hit full tilt, I'd like to start the season off with some observations. In order for Bush and Republicans to win, here is the recipe:

1. Return to conservative roots. Start hitting the messages of security, low taxes, find a way to explain the out-of-control spending so far, make the battle over Alito very vocal and talk up the reasons for a constructionist.
2. Drop dead weight. Dr. Frist may be a good doctor, but he is horrible as a majority leader. Get someone in who will lead, cajole, threaten, bully, and trick all Republicans to toe the party line.
3. Talk morals, local issues, and national issues every chance you get. Senate and House elections are decided locally, so don't try to make national figures out of Senators and Congressmen. Make them household names in their respective districts.

In order for the Dems to win, here is the recipe:

1. Cut the loon-squad loose. While the Republicans can win using a local strategy, Dems can't. Ma and Pa in the heartland want conservative values from honest people. That immediately disqualifies most Dems.
2. Lay off the name-calling. Most Americans are getting tired of the rhetoric, so knock it off.
3. Find a vision. Honestly, you can't win by saying, "At least we aren't the other guy."
4. Become Republicans. Okay, this one is a joke.

My predictions:

1. Republicans will gain 4 seats in the House, and 2 in the Senate.
2. Democrats will continue down the road of irrelevancy, as they will become more and more shrill. Americans want to win, not retreat. The Dem message will be to cut and run, bow to international pressure, give up sovereignty, etc.
3. Bush will gain in poll numbers, and will be able to sway quite a few races. This will drive Dean insane, and he will be on the ticket for '08. The Dems like him when he's nuts.

Give me your predictions, and we'll track them. This should be a fun season. I'm looking forward to it.

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